Obama's comeback in recent polls: A short story?

A nationwide election poll out yesterday showed presidential candidate Barack Obama with a 5-point lead over Republican John McCain, a reversal from polls before the Wall Street economic crisis hit. If at the end of the blackest Wall Street week since the Great Depression of 1929 Democrat Obama comes out as the only winner of that all then how fragile must his current lead be? Especially since the U.S. government seems to have ended the crises while showing a solution and great leadership in this one...

Today stocks jump higher as the Bush government takes steps to rescue America's economy: The German Stock Index (DAX) climbed up Friday afternoon by 4.8 percent to 6142 points, in London, there was an increase of 7 percent, the Swiss benchmark presented more than 5 percent, the Shanghai stock market experienced the largest price increase in its history and the Dow Jones index is at the start of trading in New York by 400 points after the U.S. government announced a rescue plan for ailing banks. Isn't the economic crisis over?

Democrats' presidential campaign seem to have a totally other view on reality and come out with a new Barack Obama ad:



Sure, the financial fallout could cost American taxpayers around a trillion Dollar, according to U.S. Senator Richard Shelby's prediction, where »lesser evil« was chosen because further delay and a worsening of the crisis could be even more expensive. But what if the economic crises is over as such? What if the U.S. government has actually done a good job? Wouldn't that backfire, Mr Barack Obama - and so what would you right now wish for economically?

See also:
John McCain will win the U.S. presidential election campaign
Las Vegas bookmakers' U.S. presidential election odds moving

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John McCain: "It's Israel, stupid!"

John McCain on Thursday at the Conservative Political Action Conference: »Those [Democratic] senators won't recognize and seriously address the threat posed by an Iran with nuclear ambitions to our ally Israel in the region. I intend to make unmistakably clear to Iran we will not permit a government that espouses the destruction of the State of Israel as its fondest wish and pledges undying enmity to the United States to possess the weapons to advance their malevolent ambitions.«

Where a candidate like George W. Bush had to repeat over and over again the names of enemies along a certain axis of evil, Mr. McCain has the pleasure to just name an ally for the same effect, addressing safety and security: Israel. And it is by far not only the Jews who McCain is courting with such gestures.

Naming the Iranian threat alone could after all not play too well into McCain's hands, since that might too easily sound like another Iraq war to come - so mentioning Israel instead quite a lot will do the trick, I predict: Not to do anything that might compromise Israel's security will be an often said phrase by McCain and his biggest supporters like Senator Joe Lieberman, worth more than any rhethoric tricks and promises all together, it seems. For McCain Israel will become a most effective tool, leaving the ecomomy to »stupid!« Democrats.

After all John McCain will have to win the trust even of the most conservative Republicans from the right wing of the party, and those he can't impress with pure social matters alone. To perform the long balance act between radicals and moderates among Republicans until November and therefore to win those who don't trust him without losing his strongest support which lays with the less conservatives, McCain shall be well adviced to play the Israel card here wisely, directly and indirectly but a lot, to connect all those he needs. No radical Republican will want to miss the chance to vote in favor of Israel, I'd say - and no moderate has to be ashamed to do just the same.

Already two weeks ago, when asked about his chances of winning the Republican nomination despite polls, odds and his poor relations with evangelical Christians, McCain noted that an influential segment of this community is very committed to Israel, and »obviously I have been a very strong proponent to the State of Israel...«, Israel, Israel, Israel.

And earlier, in the summer: »The State of Israel has never needed your support and your hopes and your prayers they way they need it today,« McCain said. »And God bless you for your commitment.« (At the annual Christians United for Israel Summit in Washington)




Yes, when it comes to Israel (psst: and Iran), Mr. John McCain indeed has an unforgetable fine and conservative record that should do a lot for him now: azstarnet.com/news

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Nostradamus predicted Obama: To lose against McCain!

Now that it seems that Hillary Clinton lost it all, here is a quick reminder of what this blog was all about right from the beginning: Between all prophecies about the next Antichrist and American future presidents, between Mabus and some »angry blacks« there is, as mentioned time ago, one single sentence that brings it all to the point: »The least part [will be] doubtful for the elder one« is by far the most clearest statement made by Nostradamus in favor of John McCain over Barack Obama while predicting the next U.S. president. At the end and when it really matters people will vote for the more experienced and race will (no more) play a too effective role.

Here we go: I just put another bet on John McCain, the elder one of all candidates, while Las Vegas' presidential election betting odds are still pretty value; a current 2.50 for McCain against Obama's 1.57 is just too good to be left out. The same goes for 2008 U.S. election bets on the one party to win: 2.50 for Reps!

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