Prediction for U.S. VP Showdown Debate

When tonight at 9pm ET Sarah Palin meets her opponent Joe Biden in their vice presidential debate we'll see two poker players at the table, going head-to-head: She has not too many chips left, he is looking to take the finish in record time. Ask some pros: This might go very wrong for Mr. Joe Biden!

One of the first poker lessons I learnt was that poker is 30% luck, even for a 100% idiot. Next thing I remember is that George W. Bush lost all debates but always won his elections. So how much is there really to beat for Joe Biden? And how easy could he lose all his stake for nothing?



Whatever the felt pressure for each of both candidates in tonight's vice presidential debate, it will not be a fair round, cannot be: Because Joe Biden only has to present himself as an acceptable second man to a potential next American leader, but Sarah Palin will have to show that she could be is qualified to serve as U.S. president her very self, thanks to John McCain's assumed low life expectancy. Nothing wrong with that, is it? Is it?


So what is it going to be in a few hours time from now where Nostradamus didn't leave us a direct clue? Joe Biden, the guy with most of the chips in his hands, will lose feathers, and hockey mom Sarah Palin will throw anything and everything on him to win this round by a late knockout - she doesn't have any other chance; and so don't we. May the force be with her!

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Election Poll: McCain leads Obama

Senator John S. McCain made an obvious step in the right direction to become the 44th president of the United States and win my bets: The newest USA Today Gallup Poll has him with the momentum from the Republican Party's national convention with 50% in front of Barack Obama's 46% among registered voters.

Does the Republican vice president candidate Sarah Palin (44) win all sympathies? It seems so: In the past week McCain was in another Gallup poll still seven points behind his rival, despite all Nostradamus prophecies. The political scientist Larry Sabato of the University of Virginia called the Republican Party convention a great success, the nomination of Sarah Palin as vice president candidate made a »big difference«. According to the survey 29% of respondents said they would rather vote for McCain in the presidential election on 4th of November because of Sarah Palin; on the other hand only 21% wanted to rethink their support for McCain because of the female governor of Alaska.


In other news:

Oprah Winfrey will not interview Sarah Palin. How biased is that while Obama was a guest in the show twice (until now)?
The New York Post endorses Senator John McCain, while during the primaries that paper supported Obama.
Las Vegas betting odds finally show some change towards reality: Barack Obama 1.57, John McCain 2.30 now.

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